EGF Turkey File, 18 February — 28 February 2014

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Insights into Turkish Domestic and International Politics

18 February — 28 February 2014

By John VanPool, EGF Turkey and Black Sea Regional Analyst

Key Points:

  • Ukraine loses control of the Crimean Peninsula, to the dismay of the region"s Muslim Tatar population.
  • Turkey"s historical and cultural ties to the Crimean Tatars increase the chance that the conflict escalates. However, its connections may also offer a path for Turkish diplomatic efforts to intercede in further confrontation between Russia and the West.
  • Leaked audio tapes appear to implicate Prime Minister Tayip Erdogan and his son of wrongdoing in the corruption scandal, though their authenticity remains disputed.
  • Erdogan hits back following the recordings release, claiming that the international media, the Gulen Movement and other outside powers are behind the investigations.
  • The peace process with the Kurds remains frozen as Abdullah Ocalan appears to warn the Gulen Movement against undermining the country by attempting a coup.

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